6 August 2018 FT — Articles to Read

6 August 2018

 

Question: What are the top three languages on the globe?

 

Finance world warns ending reliance on discredited Libor is harder than Brexit – Pg. 1

–          …Libor remains at the heart of global finance, underpinning payments on at least $420tn of derivatives, corporate loans and mortgages

–          One of the main concerns is that Libor might cease to exist before a full transition is complete

 

China’s young consumers drive sharp rise in borrowing – Pg. 3

–          Combined with a rapid growth in mortgage household debt, consumer loans pushed household borrowing to Rmb33tn by the end of 2017, equivalent of 40% of GDP.  The ratio has more than doubled since 2011

–          The surge in consumer credit has so far helped Beijing to achieve its aim of making consumption the main driver of economic growth

–          Consumer loan growth has been accelerated by the emergence of hundreds of online peer-to-peer lenders who collect money from retail investors and dispense small loans to consumers without collateral

–          With average mortgage maturity about 16 years, a more realistic worry, …is that mortgage repayment will crimp consumption. Households use nearly 17% of monthly income to repay debt…up from 11% in 2013.  For low-income households, it is 47%

 

BlackRock and Pimco accused of speeding US foreclosures – Pg. 13

–          Pimco and BlackRock have been accused of accelerating foreclosure action against struggling US subprime borrowers in the aftermath of the financial crisis

–          Pimco and BlackRock, with combined assets under management of about $8tn, are big investors in US mortgage-backed securities

 

Ratner deal signals fall of NY real estate families – Pg. 14

–          Many of the legendary families of New York real estate were giving ground to companies like Brookfield, Blackstone and The Related Companies, backed by pensions, endowments and sovereign wealth funds looking for higher yields than could be found in the bond markets

 

Answer: (1) Chinese (1.3bn first-language speakers); (2) Spanish (440.0m first-language speakers); (3) English (372.0m first-language speakers)

4 August 2018 FT — Articles to Read

4 August 2018

Question: According to MSN|Money, CNBC, how does one avoid becoming a human ATM?

 

Static US wage growth adds to argument for rate rise caution – Pg. 4

–          Solid hiring by US employers failed to boost the annual rate of wage growth in July, feulling arguments for the Federal Reserve to tread carefully as it raises rates

–          Unemployment dropped to 3.9%.  a broader measure of labour market strength that includes people who are in part-time work but want a full-time position was just 7.5%, a full point below where it was a year earlier and its lowest level since 2001

–          …wage growth flatlines at 2.7%

–          The Fed is widely expected to move rates up by another quarter-point next month as it continues its gradual process towards tighter policy

 

Trial paints Manafort as big spender – Pg. 4

–          The prosecution has sought to paint Mr Manafort as a man who lied to dodge taxes when times were good and lied to obtain bank loans when times were bad

–          Mr Manafort is the first person to be tried in Mr Mueller’s investigation into alleged links between the Trump campaign and the Russian government (Prof Note: How is Mr Manafort involved with the Russians?  How are these charges related to Mueller’s investigation?  I am NOT saying Mr Manafort is guilty/not guilty, I just do not see the connection!)

–          The allegations concern some $60m Mr Manafort earned between 2005 and 2014 in Ukraine…

 

Answer: (1) Ask what it is for (Prof Note: If someone asks you for $$$, be certain you understand the need.  Do not be frightened to pay the bill directly.  Also, be certain the money is not being used to buoy an unsustainable lifestyle); (2) Feel free to say no; (3) Set terms; (4) Accept that you might never get it back (Prof Note: While not for everyone, consider funding a Foundation.  This way your philanthropic goals are met and you can address the ask with, “Please contact my Foundation for a donation.”)

3 August 2018 FT — Articles to Read

3 August 2018

 

Question: According to MSN|Money, Motley Food, what are four times when diversifying your portfolio may not make sense?

 

Apple becomes first company to break through $1tn value barrier – Pg. 1

–          …beating old foes such as Microsoft and younger tech rivals Amazon and Alphabet to the milestone

–          Tracking Apple’s rise to the $1tn milestone has been complicated by the company’s enormous share buybacks, including $20bn in the past quarter alone.  The company’s latest regulatory filing showed a share count of 4.83bn shares as of July 20

–          Market capitalization is only one measure of a company’s success.  Amazon’s enterprise value, which takes into account debt, is already ahead of Apple’s by about $50bn

–          …11-year-old iPhone, which still accounts for about two-thirds of annual revenues….

–          The company’s share price rally in recent months has been attributed, at least in part, to its plan to repatriate overseas profits and return most of its more than $100bn in net cash to shareholders, under new US tax rules

 

White House push to cut taxes for rich faces thorny obstacles – Pg. 2

–          The hurdles would include challenges to the legality of the move, on top of political criticism and doubts over the economy benefits

–          The Treasury has been examining the merits of adjusting capital gains taxes for inflation – in effect a tax cut that would confer large benefits on well-off Americans

–          ….as much as 90% of the benefits would go to the top 1% of households

–          Presently, when assets are sold the tax is calculated on the nominal difference between the initial cost and sale price

–          ….the Treasury could redefine what is meant by “cost” without the need for new legislation, meaning only returns in excess of inflation would be subject to tax

 

German government debt falls below $2tn – Pg. 4

–          Debt fell last year by 2.1%…

–          The debt ratio is expected to fall to 58.25%, down from 61% this year.  As recently as 2012 it was at 81% of GDP

–          Germany passed another important symbolic milestone in January when its “debt clock” started running backwards for the first time in more than 20 years

 

BoE interest rate increase to 0.75% is highest level in nine years – Pg. 4

–          The BoE raised interest rates to their highest level in almost a decade yesterday, ….

–          …central bank’s benchmark interest rate to 0.75% – the highest level since 2009 in the aftermath of the financial crisis

–          The BoE is the third major central bank to meet this week, and has joined the US Federal Reserve in signaling further interest rate rises are on the way

 

Passive investing is storing up trouble – Pg. 9

–          A fundamental shift in market structure towards rules-based, passive investing over the past decade means a lot of trading is no longer based on fundamentals

–          …only about 10% of US equity investment is now done by traditional, discretionary traders

–          Passive investments, such as ETFs and index funds, similarly ignore fundamentals.  Often set up to mimic an index, ETFs have to buy more of equities rising in price, sending those stock prices even higher

 

Answer: (1) If you’re investing with a relatively small amount of money (Prof Note: A MAJOR criticism I have with academia is that it prepares everyone to manage someone else’s $100.0m portfolio and not their own $500,000 retirement savings.); (2) If you’d have to dip into margin in order to diversify; (3) If you ‘re struggling to keep up with the headlines of what you already own; (4) If it reduces the quality of your investment holdings

2 August 2018 FT — Articles to Read

2 August 2018

 

Question: According to MSN:Money, what are 15 things men get wrong about women and money?

 

Fed stays on course for September rate rise after bullish review of US economy – Pg. 1

–          The Federal Reserve stayed on course for a further increase in short-term interest rates as soon as next month as it highlighted the strength of the US economic expansion alongside inflation that is hovering close to target

–          The central bank held the target range for the federal funds rate at 1.75% to 2.00%, as widely expected….

–          It gave a bullish assessment of the economy following its latest two-day meeting, describing a range of economic indicators as “strong”

–          …the ECB is penciling in an end to its quantitative easing programme at the end of the year, while the BoE is poised for another rate increase

–          The BoJ stood as the exception this week, pledging to maintain extremely low rates, although it also jolted bond traders by introducing extra flexibility into its stimulus programme

–          Having raised rates twice, the Fed’s median forecast is for a total of four rises this year, with three in 2019.  That could push rates towards “neutral” levels – at which growth is at its trend rate and inflation stable – as soon as next year

 

China eases war on debt in hunt for short-term growth – Pg. 4

–          China’s leadership has signaled a shift towards supporting short-term economic growth after battling excessive debt for nearly two years, just as a trade war with the US also threatens the economy

–          China’s economy expanded at its weakest pace since 2016 in the second quarter, and most economists expect further deceleration.

–          Overall lending growth from banks and off-balance-sheet sources hit record lows for four consecutive months to June, …

 

Auditing in crisis – Pg. 7

–          The word audit means to survey or check.  Ferreting after facts was once the auditors’ main vocation: certifying information to assure investors that a company’s numbers were “true and fair”

–          In the UK in the past three decades, standards setters have progressively dismantled the system of historical cost accounting, replacing it with one based on the idea that the primary purpose of accounts is to present information that is “useful to users”.  The process allows managers to pull forward anticipated profits and unrealized gains, and write them up as today’s surpluses

–          Modern auditing in Brain sprang from a great failure; the collapse in 1878 of the City of Glasgow Bank

–          Their purpose was to assure investors that companies’ capital was not being abused by over-optimistic or fraudulent managers.

–          The idea that accounts should be primarily “useful” springs from the same source as the so-called efficient markets hypothesis.  Indeed, it is an adjunct to that now somewhat discredited theory

–          Fair value accounting has been firmly shunned by the US SEC for contributing to the losses of the 1929 crash

–          Soaring inflation in the 1970s made historical cost balance sheets seem misleadingly out of whack with property values, leading to asset stripping.  American’s savings and loan crisis in the 1980s was partly blamed on these institutions having out-of-date boosk

–            From the 1990s, fair values started to supplant historical cost numbers in the balance sheet, first in the US and then, with the advent of IFRS accounting standards in 2005, across the EU.  Banking assets held for trading started to be reassessed regularly at market valuations.  Contracts were increasingly valued as discounted streams of income, stretching seamlessly into the future

–          Between 1992 and 2014, equity-based pay at S&P 500 firms rose from 25% to 60% of their total remuneration, …

–          “The problem with fair value accounting is that it’s very hard to differentiate between mark-to-market, mark-to-model and mark-to-myth”

–          Until the turn of the century there was a general convention that when one company bought another, goodwill was an effective cost of the transaction that needed to be amortized – or written down annually against group profits

–          …standards setters softened the rules on goodwill in 2000

–          Since 2007, the total goodwill on the balance sheets of S&P 500 companies had rocketed from $1.8tn to $2.9tn by 2016,…

–          From a Big Eight in 1987, the industry consolidated to a BigFive in 1998

–          …collapse of Arthur Anderson in 2002….”it makes the Big Four too big to fail”

–          There is also the perception that the dominant Big Four, which are now profit-hungry professional services conglomerates, are not that worried about audit quality anyway

 

Answer: (1) Myth: woman have worse credit scores; (2) Myth: Women are not good investors; (3) Myth: Women are more likely to make impulse purchases; (4) Myth: Women are more interested in getting married; (5) Myth: Women don’t make successful entrepreneurs; (6) Myth: there is no glass ceiling; (7) Myth: Women do all the grocery shopping; (8) Myth: Women have lower salaries because they don’t negotiate; (9) Myth: Women don’t know how to save money; (10) Myth: Women aren’t interested in learning about investing; (11) Myth: woman are born to shop; (12) Myth: women aren’t nature leaders; (13) Myth: Woemn are naturally bad at math (Prof Note: My 24 years of lecturing has proven to me that women are actually superior in math. Women are more likely to state the problem and prove the solution.  Men are more like to write a single number and be at the bar in time for happy hour); (14) Myth: women can’t manage money; (15) Myth: The general pay gap doesn’t really exist (Prof Note: Overall comment, in my 24 years of University lecture I have noticed no intellectual gap between any group of individuals.  What I have noticed is a difference in maturity, i.e. woman are more mature, especially at younger ages than men.  Also, woman with professional and familial responsibilities that have NO time, tend to be the best students, in general, in graduate school….because their children/family need them!)